Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions : With Application to Weather Routing and Wind Power Generation

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by David Zastrau

Book Details

Format Hardback or Cased Book

Book Series Maritime Logistik / Maritime Logistics

ISBN-10 3631718853

ISBN-13 9783631718858

Edition New

Publisher Peter Lang AG

Imprint Peter Lang AG

Country of Manufacture DE

Country of Publication GB

Publication Date Mar 7th, 2017

Print length 123 Pages

Weight 282 grams

Dimensions 15.30 x 21.40 x 1.50 cms

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Ksh 8,600.00

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Wind drives in combination with weather routing can lower the fuel consumption of cargo ships significantly. For this reason, the author describes a mathematical method based on quantile regression for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route.

Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly.

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