Developments in Demographic Forecasting
1st ed. 2020
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Chapter 1. Introduction.- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts.- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions.- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects?.- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age-Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes.- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions.- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy.- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide.- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving?.- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland.- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components.- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing.
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