Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time? : Intervention Timing and its Implications for Force Planning
Book Details
Format
Paperback / Softback
ISBN-10
0833079018
ISBN-13
9780833079015
Publisher
RAND
Imprint
RAND
Country of Manufacture
GB
Country of Publication
GB
Publication Date
Jun 14th, 2013
Print length
76 Pages
Product Classification:
Military historyProbability & statisticsComputer science
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Ksh 2,700.00
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Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.
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